Background: Venous system invasion is a prominent characteristic of local progression in renal cancer and treatment-naïve renal cancer patients with venous tumor thrombus (VTT) gained short natural course and poor prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of the surgery and prognostic factors in non-metastatic renal cancer patients with VTT and to construct a nomogram prognostic model.
Methods: Clinical data of 114 non-metastatic renal cancer patients with VTT who underwent surgical treatment from January 2011 to September 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. In order to find independent risk factors of prognosis, survival analysis was performed via univariate and multivariate Cox regression models and Kaplan-Meier method. Nomogram prognostic model was established to calculate patients' risk scores. Receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis were conducted to evaluate the efficacy of the prognostic model.
Results: A total of 114 patients were included in this study and there were 48, 12, 25, 23, and 6 cases of grade 0-IV VTT. No perioperative death occurred. The 3-year probabilities of overall survival (OS) and 5-year probabilities of OS were 67% and 43.8%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that kidney tumor diameter, preoperative lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and preoperative neutrophils were independent risk factors. Nomogram was constructed to predict prognosis in renal cancer patients with VTT based on above indicators and Mayo VTT grading. The area under the ROC curve of 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year OS of the patients were 0.82, 0.67, 0.57, and 0.55 respectively.
Conclusions: Surgical treatment enables renal cancer patients with VTT to gain a better prognosis. Kidney tumor diameter, preoperative LDH, and preoperative neutrophils were independent risk factors. The nomogram perfects the Mayo grading, and provides a reliable reference for evaluation of prognosis of renal cancer patients with VTT.
Keywords: Venous tumor thrombus (VTT); nomogram model; prognosis; renal cancer; surgical treatment.
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