Computational modeling approaches for developing a synergistic effect prediction model of estrogen agonistic activity

Abstract

The concerns regarding the potential health threats caused by estrogenic endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and their mixtures manufactured by the chemical industry are increasing worldwide. Conventional experimental tests for understanding the estrogenic activity of mixtures are expensive and time-consuming. Although non-testing methods using computational modeling approaches have been developed to reduce the number of traditional tests, they are unsuitable for predicting synergistic effects because current prediction models consider only a single chemical. Thus, the development of predictive models is essential for predicting the mixture toxicity, including chemical interactions. However, selecting suitable computational modeling approaches to develop a high-performance prediction model requires considerable time and effort. In this study, we provide a suitable computational approach to develop a predictive model for the synergistic effects of estrogenic activity. We collected datasets on mixture toxicity based on the synergistic effect of estrogen agonistic activity in binary mixtures. Using the model deviation ratio approach, we classified the labels of the binary mixtures as synergistic or non-synergistic effects. We assessed five molecular descriptors, four machine learning-based algorithms, and a deep learning-based algorithm to provide a suitable computational modeling approach. Compared with other modeling approaches, the prediction model using the deep learning-based algorithm and chemical-protein network descriptors exhibited the best performance in predicting the synergistic effects. In conclusion, we developed a new high-performance binary classification model using a deep neural network and chemical-protein network-based descriptors. The developed model will be helpful for the preliminary screening of the synergistic effects of binary mixtures during the development process of chemical products.

Keywords: Deep learning; Estrogen agonistic activity; Estrogen receptors (ER); Mixture descriptors; Mixture toxicity; Synergistic effect.