Lung Ultrasound Score on Postoperative Day 1 Is Predictive of the Occurrence of Pulmonary Complications after Major Abdominal Surgery: A Multicenter Prospective Observational Study

Abstract

Background: Postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery are frequent and carry high morbidity and mortality. Early identification of patients at risk of pulmonary complications by lung ultrasound may allow the implementation of preemptive strategies. The authors hypothesized that lung ultrasound score would be associated with pulmonary postoperative complications. The main objective of the study was to evaluate the performance of lung ultrasound score on postoperative day 1 in predicting pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery. Secondary objectives included the evaluation of other related measures for their potential prediction accuracy.

Methods: A total of 149 patients scheduled for major abdominal surgery were enrolled in a bicenter observational study. Lung ultrasound score was performed before the surgery and on days 1, 4, and 7 after surgery. Pulmonary complications occurring before postoperative day 10 were recorded.

Results: Lung ultrasound score on postoperative day 1 was higher in patients developing pulmonary complications before day 10 (median, 13; interquartile range, 8.25 to 18; vs. median, 10; interquartile range, 6.5 to 12; Mann-Whitney P = 0.002). The area under the curve for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications before day 10 was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.55 to 0.75; P = 0.003). Lung ultrasound score greater than 12 had a sensitivity of 0.54 (95% CI, 0.40 to 0.67), specificity of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0.85), and negative predictive value of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.65 to 0.83). Lung ultrasound score greater than 17 had sensitivity of 0.33 (95% CI, 0.21 to 0.47), specificity of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.88 to 0.98), and positive predictive value of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.56 to 0.93). Anterolateral lung ultrasound score and composite scores using lung ultrasound score and other patient characteristics showed similar predictive accuracies.

Conclusions: An elevated lung ultrasound score on postoperative day 1 is associated with the occurrence of pulmonary complications within the first 10 days after major abdominal surgery.