A global systematic evidence review with meta-analysis of the epidemiological characteristics of the 2022 Mpox outbreaks

Infection. 2023 Dec 5. doi: 10.1007/s15010-023-02133-5. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Background: In 2022, there were outbreaks of Mpox where the disease is not endemic. We summarized published full-text epidemiological data from the outbreaks.

Methods: A global evidence review (protocol: osf.io/j3kb7) with systematic literature search up to February 09, 2023. We focused on experimental/observational studies of laboratory confirmed Mpox, excluding case reports and case series of < 5 cases. Epidemiological data were pooled using an inverse variance, random-effects model, and pooled estimates presented with associated 95% confidence intervals.

Results: We included 66 studies. Mean incubation period was 7.8 days (6.6-9.0 days, 8 studies: 560 cases), reproductive number 1.8 (1.7-1.9, 6 studies), mean duration from symptom onset to diagnosis 5.8 days (4.8-6.8 days, 4 studies: 982 cases), mean symptom duration 17.5 days (14.7-20.2 days, 3 studies: 292 cases), mean serial interval 8.5 days (7.3-9.9 days, 1 study), hospitalisation 6% (4-9%, 26 studies: 5339 cases), and vaccine effectiveness 78% (65-91%, 3 studies: 953 cases). Highly relevant clinical manifestations were pleomorphic skin lesions 82% (68-94%, 26 studies: 4093 cases), anogenital lesions 64% (51-77%, 9 studies: 10,398 cases), fever 54% (50-57%, 52 studies: 25,992 cases), and lymphadenopathy 51% (46-57%, 42 studies: 17,803 cases), with cases mostly men who have sex with men (MSM). Possibly relevant manifestations were perianal lesions, fatigue, asthenia, myalgia, and headache.

Conclusions: The 2022 Mpox outbreaks presented with sex-related clinical manifestations and were mostly reported among MSM.

Keywords: Epidemiology; Meta-analysis; Monkeypox, Mpox; Systematic review.