Efficacy, Safety, and Cost-effectiveness Analysis of Antiviral Agents for Cytomegalovirus Prophylaxis in Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Recipients

Abstract

Background: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection is associated with higher non-relapse mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). But the preferred drug for preventing cytomegalovirus infection is still controversial. We evaluate the efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness of antiviral agents based on the most recent studies.

Methods: A pairwise and network meta-analysis was conducted to obtain direct and indirect evidence of antivirals. The cost of allo-HSCT recipients in a teaching hospital was collected, and a cost-effectiveness analysis using a decision tree combined with Markov model was completed from the perspective of allo-HSCT recipients over a lifetime horizon.

Results: A total of 19 RCTs involving 3565 patients (8 antivirals) were included. In the network meta-analysis, relative to placebo, letermovir, valacyclovir, and ganciclovir significantly reduced CMV infection incidence; ganciclovir significantly reduced CMV disease incidence; ganciclovir significantly increased the incidence of serious adverse event; none of antivirals significantly reduced all-cause mortality. Based on meta-analysis and Chinese medical data, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) saved for maribavir, acyclovir, valacyclovir, ganciclovir, and letermovir relative to placebo corresponded to US$216 635.70, US$11 590.20, US$11 816.40, US$13 049.90, and US$12 189.40, respectively. One-way sensitivity analysis showed the most influential parameter was discount rate. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated a 53.0% probability of letermovir producing an ICER below the willingness-to-pay threshold of US$38 824.23/QALY. The scenario analysis demonstrated prophylaxis with letermovir is considered cost-effective in the United States.

Conclusions: Currently, letermovir is an effective and well-tolerated treatment for preventing CMV infection, and it might be a cost-effective choice in allo-HSCT recipients in China.