ECG abnormality and predictor of new-onset atrial fibrillation in hypertension and diabetes mellitus population: An observational analytic study from cardiovascular outpatient clinic at a National Cardiovascular Center in Indonesia

J Arrhythm. 2023 Oct 9;39(6):860-867. doi: 10.1002/joa3.12938. eCollection 2023 Dec.

Abstract

Background: Population-based studies have also found that diabetes mellitus (DM) and hypertension (HT) are independent risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF). However, less is known about new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) risk factors and its correlation with DM and HT. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and pattern of ECG abnormalities, and the predictor of NOAF in patients with HT and DM.

Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted at a tertiary hospital from May until December 2021. All medical record data from outpatients who had both diagnoses HT and DM were included in this study. Data from patients with unstable hemodynamics and lack of complete medical record data were excluded. Then, patient history, medical records, ECG, and laboratory information were reviewed.

Results: There were 162 patients included in this study. Arrhythmia was found in 14.2% of the population, with new-onset AF (NOAF) as the most common finding with 8.6% incidence, followed by PVC (3.1%) and PAC (2.5%). Bivariate analysis showed that valvular heart disease, random blood glucose, LVEF, and infection status were associated with a higher incidence of NOA. Model from multivariate logistic regression showed that valvular heart disease and random blood glucose level were independently correlated with NOAF (p = .009).

Conclusion: It can be concluded that random blood glucose level at a certain point and valvular heart disease can be used as a risk predictor of NOAF in the hypertension population with concomitant DM.

Keywords: arrhythmia; diabetes mellitus; hypertension; new‐onset atrial fibrillation.