Research on the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanism of coupling coordinating between green transition of urban land use and urban land use efficiency: a case study of the Yangtze River Delta Region in China

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Dec 1. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-31072-9. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Analyzing the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of the coupling coordination between the Green Transition of Urban Land Use and urban land use efficiency can help explore the future development direction of sustainable land use in cities. This paper constructs a theoretical framework for the coupling coordination between Green Transition of Urban Land Use and urban land use efficiency. We use several models, including the super-efficiency slack-based model, the coupling coordination degree model, the non-parametric kernel density estimation method, exploratory spatial data analysis, and the geographically and temporally weighted regression model to examine the real level of Green Transition of Urban Land Use and urban land use efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2003 to 2020. Based on this, we investigate the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms of the two coupling coordination processes. The study found that (1) from 2003 to 2020, the overall trend of the coupling coordination between Green Transition of Urban Land Use and urban land use efficiency in the Yangtze River Delta region tended to be coordinated and developed, but still at a primary coordination level, with sufficient room for improvement in the future. (2) The coupling coordination level of each city in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2003 to 2020 showed obvious spatial non-equilibrium and correlation characteristics, and overall dynamic polarization effects were exhibited during the study period; the spatial pattern of high-value areas showed a regularity of prioritizing Shanghai and Zhejiang Province, gradually penetrating into Jiangsu Province and Anhui Province. (3) Economic and social factors have a positive influence on the degree of coupling coordination; natural factors and policy factors have a predominantly negative influence on the degree of coupling coordination. Research conclusions include establishing a regional collaborative development mechanism, utilizing the spatial spillover effect of leading cities; emphasizing science, education, and culture, strengthening the introduction of scientific and technological talents, increasing fiscal inputs, raising the level of economic development, and further expanding the driving effect of economic and social factors; and optimizing the layout of urban and rural construction land, developing urban land in an orderly manner, appropriately strengthening environmental regulation, thereby suppressing the negative effects caused by natural and policy factors.

Keywords: Coupling coordination; Driving mechanism; Geographically and temporally weighted regression; Green transition of urban land use; Urban land use efficiency.