In this work, we present a methodology for predicting the optical performance impacts of random and structured MSF surface errors using pupil-difference probability distribution (PDPD) moments. In addition, we show that, for random mid-spatial frequency (MSF) surface errors, performance estimates from the PDPD moments converge to performance estimates that assume random statistics. Finally, we apply these methods to several MSF surface errors with different distributions and compare estimated optical performance values to predictions based on earlier methods assuming random error distributions.