p16/Ki67 dual stain triage versus cytology in primary human papillomavirus-based cervical cancer screening with limited genotyping

J Med Virol. 2023 Nov;95(11):e29271. doi: 10.1002/jmv.29271.

Abstract

The introduction of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) cervical cancer screening requires the implementation of an appropriate triage strategy that will be effective in detecting high-grade cervical disease without losing diagnostic specificity. From the 30.066 screening tests results, a total of 1086 with available high-risk human papillomavirus (HRHPV) with limited genotyping, cytology, and p16/Ki67 dual-stain were selected. Two triage strategies for primary HPV screening were analyzed retrospectively based on the study group. Performance characteristics for p16/Ki67 and cytology triage in the detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and grade 3 or worse (CIN3+) were calculated, detected in colposcopic biopsy. In HPV16/18-positive cases, primary HPV with p16/Ki67 triage was significantly more specific than cytology (53.1%/16.8% for CIN2+; p < 0.0001; 45.9%/17.0% for CIN3+; p < 0.0001), with yielded sensitivity (95.7%/84.8% for CIN2+; p = 0.0955; 100.0%/87.5% for CIN3+; p = 0.0832). In other HRHPV-positive cases (N16/N18), p16/Ki67 triage was also significantly higher specific (51.3%/15.3% for CIN2+; p < 0.0001; 44.5%/16.5% for CIN3+; p < 0.0001), with sensitivity (92.3%/74.4% for CIN2+; p = 0.0522; 90.9%/81.8% for CIN3+; p = 0.5637). Diagnostic predictive values were significantly higher for p16/Ki67 triage with the highest PPV in HPV16/18-positive cases for CIN2+ (45.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 35.2-55.8; p < 0.0001) and very high NPV in all HPV-positive cases regardless of detected genotype (96.3%-100.0%). The risk (1-NPV) for CIN3+ in HRHPV16/18-positive/p16/Ki67-negative women was 0.0%. Superior diagnostic performance compared to cytology for detecting cervical cancer precursors indicates that p16/Ki67 dual-immunostain may be a highly effective tool of triage in primary HPV screening with limited HPV 16/18 genotyping in secondary cervical cancer prevention.

Keywords: CINtec PLUS; cancer biomarkers; cervical cancer screening; genotyping; high-risk HPV; p16/Ki67 dual-stain; triage.

MeSH terms

  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16 / genetics
  • Early Detection of Cancer / methods
  • Female
  • Genotype
  • Human Papillomavirus Viruses
  • Human papillomavirus 16 / genetics
  • Human papillomavirus 18 / genetics
  • Humans
  • Ki-67 Antigen / genetics
  • Papillomavirus Infections*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Triage / methods
  • Uterine Cervical Dysplasia*
  • Uterine Cervical Neoplasms*

Substances

  • Ki-67 Antigen
  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16