Mammography images contain a lot of information about not only the mammary glands but also the skin, adipose tissue, and stroma, which may reflect the risk of developing breast cancer. We aimed to establish a method to predict breast cancer risk using radiomics features of mammography images and to enable further examinations and prophylactic treatment to reduce breast cancer mortality. We used mammography images of 4000 women with breast cancer and 1000 healthy women from the 'starting point set' of the OPTIMAM dataset, a public dataset. We trained a Light Gradient Boosting Machine using radiomics features extracted from mammography images of women with breast cancer (only the healthy side) and healthy women. This model was a binary classifier that could discriminate whether a given mammography image was of the contralateral side of women with breast cancer or not, and its performance was evaluated using five-fold cross-validation. The average area under the curve for five folds was 0.60122. Some radiomics features, such as 'wavelet-H_glcm_Correlation' and 'wavelet-H_firstorder_Maximum', showed distribution differences between the malignant and normal groups. Therefore, a single radiomics feature might reflect the breast cancer risk. The odds ratio of breast cancer incidence was 7.38 in women whose estimated malignancy probability was ≥0.95. Radiomics features from mammography images can help predict breast cancer risk.
Keywords: Light GBM; breast cancer; mammography; radiomics; risk prediction.