Over the last three decades, agent-based modeling/model (ABM) has been one of the most powerful and valuable simulation-based decision modeling techniques used to study the complex dynamic interactions between animals and their environment. ABM is a relatively new modeling technique in the animal research arena, with immense potential for routine decision-making in livestock systems. We describe ABM's fundamental characteristics for developing intelligent modeling systems, exemplify its use for livestock production, and describe commonly used software for designing and developing ABM. After that, we discuss several aspects of the developmental mechanics of an ABM, including (1) how livestock researchers can conceptualize and design a model, (2) the main components of an ABM, (3) different statistical methods of analyzing the outputs, and (4) verification, validation, and replication of an ABM. Then, we perform an overall analysis of the utilities of ABM in different subsystems of the livestock systems ranging from epidemiological prediction to nutritional management to livestock market dynamics. Finally, we discuss the concept of hybrid intelligent models (i.e., merging real-time data streams with intelligent ABM), which have applications in artificial intelligence-based decision-making for precision livestock farming. ABM captures individual agents' characteristics, interactions, and the emergent properties that arise from these interactions; thus, animal scientists can benefit from ABM in multiple ways, including understanding system-level outcomes, analyzing agent behaviors, exploring different scenarios, and evaluating policy interventions. Several platforms for building ABM exist (e.g., NetLogo, Repast J, and AnyLogic), but they have unique features making one more suitable for solving specific problems. The strengths of ABM can be combined with other modeling approaches, including artificial intelligence, allowing researchers to advance our understanding further and contribute to sustainable livestock management practices. There are many ways to develop and apply mathematical models in livestock production that might assist with sustainable development. However, users must be experienced when choosing the appropriate modeling technique and computer platform (i.e., modeling development tool) that will facilitate the adoption of mathematical models by certifying that the model is field-ready and versatile enough for untrained users.
Keywords: agent-based modeling; hybrid intelligent models; livestock systems.
Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a well-known simulation technique that decision-makers of livestock systems can use to develop holistic, long-term, and well-informed decisions. This modeling technique facilitates the investigation of complex systems of different individuals, given its capability to simulate individual agents, their specific characteristics, and their inherent capacity to memorize individuals’ past behaviors. Livestock systems are complex systems involving multiple stakeholders with collaborative and sometimes competing interests; thus, ABM might aid in achieving sustainability goals of interest to livestock systems. The modeling processes involved in developing a generic ABM and its utilities are described, so that livestock researchers can build multiple models customized for their research needs. We discuss numerous software platforms that livestock systems modelers can utilize towards this goal. A brief overview of the state-of-the-art ABM developed by different domain experts researching livestock systems was done so that decision modelers working in the field can use those models to conceptualize and design their models for their specific research needs. We also made a case for hybridizing the ABM with real-time data streaming technology to support precision livestock sensor initiatives to enhance the utility of agent-based models for real-time decision-making.
© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Society of Animal Science.