Factors associated with advanced-stage diagnosis of cervical cancer in Estonia: a population-based study

Abstract

Objectives: Cervical cancer (CC) remains a crucial public health issue in Estonia, with high incidence and late diagnosis. The aim of this study was to examine time trends of stage-specific CC incidence in Estonia and factors associated with advanced-stage diagnosis of CC.

Study design: This was a nationwide population-based retrospective study.

Methods: Data on CC cases diagnosed in Estonia in 2007-2018 were obtained from the Estonian Cancer Registry, including tumour, nodes, metastases stage at diagnosis. Sociodemographic data were obtained from the Population Registry. To estimate the risk of advanced-stage diagnosis (stages II-IV vs stage I) associated with sociodemographic factors, Poisson regression with robust variance was used to calculate univariate and multivariate prevalence ratios (PR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Time trends of stage-specific CC incidence for 2005-2019 were examined with joinpoint analysis.

Results: Incidence of stage I CC showed a significant decline of 4.9% per year since 2007, whereas no change was seen for other stages. Of the 2046 women diagnosed in 2007-2018, 1137 (55.6%) were diagnosed at an advanced stage; this proportion increased from 51% in 2007-2009 to 58% in 2015-2018 (P = 0.004). Multivariate regression analysis showed that advanced-stage diagnosis was associated with age (PR 2.16, 95% CI 1.87-2.49 for women aged ≥75 years compared with those aged 30-44 years), educational level (PR 1.32, 95% CI 1.15-1.51 for women with basic/primary education compared to university education) and marital status (PR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01-1.29 for single women compared to married/cohabiting women). No associations were observed by region of residence or nationality.

Conclusions: To reduce CC mortality, it is crucial to improve prevention and early diagnosis of CC in Estonia through human papillomavirus vaccination and effective and quality-assured screening particularly targeting high-risk groups as well as encouraging symptom awareness and regular check-ups among older women.

Keywords: Cervical cancer; Population-based study; Screening; Sociodemographic factors; Stage; Stage-specific incidence.