Perceptions of weather-based pain forecasts and their effect on daily activities

Int J Biometeorol. 2024 Jan;68(1):109-123. doi: 10.1007/s00484-023-02575-4. Epub 2023 Nov 21.

Abstract

As studies begin to have more success uncovering the relationships between atmospheric conditions and pain, weather-based pain forecasting becomes more of a reality. In this study, a survey was used to determine if people living with migraines and/or other pain-related conditions are receptive to weather-based pain forecasts. Moreover, we wished to identify whether these forecasts actually impact the decision-making of those who use them. Survey respondents were generally eager to use these novel forecasts. Furthermore, when provided with different scenarios involving weather-based pain forecasts, the respondents' actions were altered. When a hypothetical forecast indicated that the weather was conducive to migraines or other types of pain, many indicated that they would likely take preventative measures (e.g., medication). Additionally, respondents were less likely to continue with a planned activity, regardless of length, as forecast severity increased. The results from this survey highlight the importance of developing and improving weather-based pain forecasting.

Keywords: Arthritis; Fibromyalgia; Forecast; Migraine; Pain; Survey.

MeSH terms

  • Climate
  • Decision Making*
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Migraine Disorders*
  • Weather