A novel tumor staging system incorporating cN status for stratifying early stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients after trimodal therapy

Abstract

Backgrounds: The aim of this study is to investigate the prognostic value of cN status for early stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and construct a new staging model for individual survival prediction.

Methods: Patients with ESCC who underwent nCRT and esophagectomy were included in this study. Both the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) were meticulously ascertained to assess the cogency of each oncological staging system. A discernible abatement in the values of AIC and BIC signifies a model endowed with enhanced predictive prowess and exemplary veracity.

Results: A new staging model was established based on ypTNM stage and cN status by precisely stratifying ypI ESCC patients. The novel ypTNM-cN staging demonstrated superior overall survival trend alignment over the AJCC 8th ypTNM staging, with a notably lower AIC of 3143.014 versus 3149.950. This superiority was supported by a BIC of 3146.605 against 3153.541. In the context of disease-free survival outcomes, the emergent ypTNM-cN staging, with an AIC value registering at 3196.057 and a BIC value at 3199.648, distinctively eclipsed the AJCC 8th ypTNM staging, which documented values of 3203.853 and 3207.444, respectively.

Conclusion: We constructed a new staging system based on ypTNM stage and cN status to precisely stratify the patients with ypI stage. Our new ypTNM-cN staging system provides new insights for classifying stage ypI ESCC and shows reliable classification efficacy for all ESCC patients after nCRT and surgery.

Keywords: Clinical node status; Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; Neoadjuvant therapy; Staging system.