Effectivenes of incentive constraint policies in enhancing green bond credit rating and certification: A theoretical and empirical study

PLoS One. 2023 Nov 16;18(11):e0289750. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0289750. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

This paper aims to effectively reduce CO2 emissions by examining the impact of three distinct incentive and constraint policies on the quality of rating and certification information in China's green bond issuance market. To accomplish this, the government has implemented incentives, while regulators have introduced constraints to curb the spread of inflated rating and certification information. We build on the integrated rating and certification regulation mechanism by presenting a two-stage Stackelberg game model that involves four key participants: the China Securities Regulatory Commission, local governments, green evaluation and certification agencies, and credit rating agencies. We incorporate environmental effects indicators into the expected utility of rating and certification agencies to investigate the equilibrium conditions under three policy scenarios: a single financial incentive policy, a single regulatory constraint policy, and a combined incentive and constraint policy. The paper employs Stackelberg game theory to analyze how different policies mitigate the occurrence of "inflated" ratings and "greenwashing" in certifications. Numerical analysis is conducted to validate the theoretical findings. Moreover, we assess the impact of these policies on the quality of rating and evaluation information, using data from China's green bond issuance market between 2016 and 2021. Our research offers valuable management insights and regulatory recommendations for both regulators and local governments.

MeSH terms

  • Certification
  • China
  • Fiscal Policy*
  • Humans
  • Local Government
  • Motivation*
  • Policy

Grants and funding

Thanks to the National Nature Science Foundation of China (general project) in 2022, grant No. 72174079 for technical support of simulation and empirical study. Thanks for the financial support by Major Projects of Guangdong Education Department for Foundation Research and Applied Research, grant No. 2022WQNCX205 and Shenzhen Education Science 2022 Annual Planning Project, grant No. dwzz22157.