Aim: To evaluate the association between periodontitis, all-cause and cause-specific mortality, and its prognostic utility among adults with diabetes.
Materials and methods: Periodontal health records were retrieved from the NHANES database for 4297 participants with diabetes aged >30 years at baseline during 1988-1994, 1999-2004 and 2009-2014. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was applied to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for moderate/severe periodontitis with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in participants with diabetes. Area under the curve (AUC) was used to assess predictive value.
Results: During a median follow-up of 15.41 years, 1701 deaths occurred. After multivariate adjustments, moderate/severe periodontitis was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause (HR: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.07-1.50; p = .005) and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.03-1.76, p = .031) mortality in participants with diabetes. The absolute risk difference based on the cumulative incidence information was 0.022 (5-year, 95% CI: 0.021-0.023) and 0.044 (10-year, 95% CI: 0.041-0.048). Periodontitis improved the prediction of all-cause (AUC: 0.652; 95% CI: 0.627-0.676) and CVD-related (AUC: 0.649; 95% CI: 0.624-0.676) mortality over standard risk factors (all-cause: AUC: 0.631; 95% CI: 0.606-0.656; CVD-related: AUC: 0.629; 95% CI: 0.604-0.655).
Conclusions: Moderate/severe periodontitis is associated with an increased risk of all-cause and CVD-related mortality in adults with diabetes. Periodontitis might represent a marker for residual risk.
Keywords: cardiovascular disease; diabetes; mortality; periodontitis.
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