Opioid prescription and risk of atrial fibrillation in younger veterans

Am Heart J. 2024 Feb:268:61-67. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2023.11.001. Epub 2023 Nov 9.

Abstract

Background: Opioids may play a part in the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). Understanding the relationship between opioid exposure and AF can help providers better assess the risk and benefits of prescribing opioids.

Objective: To assess the incidence of AF as a function of prescribed opioids and opioid type.

Design: We performed unadjusted and adjusted time-updated Cox regressions to assess the association between opioid exposure and incident AF.

Participants: The national study sample was comprised of Veterans enrolled in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) who served in support of post-9/11 operations.

Main measures: The main predictor of interest was prescription opioid exposure, which was treated as a time-dependent variable. The first was any opioid exposure (yes/no). Secondary was opioid type. The outcome, incident AF, was identified through ICD-9-CM diagnostic codes at any primary care visit after the baseline period.

Key results: A total of 609,763 veterans (mean age: 34 years and 13.24% female) were included in our study. Median follow-up time was 4.8 years. Within this cohort, 124,395 veterans (20.40%) were prescribed an opioid. A total of 1,455 Veterans (0.24%) were diagnosed with AF. In adjusted time-updated Cox regressions, the risk of incident AF was higher in the veterans prescribed opioids (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.47; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.38-1.57). In adjusted time-updated Cox regressions, both immunomodulating and nonimmunomodulating opioid type was associated with increased risk of incident AF (HR: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.25-1.57 and HR: 1.49; 95% CI: 1.39-1.60), compared to no opioid use, respectively.

Conclusions: Our findings suggest opioid prescription may be a modifiable risk factor for the development of AF.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Analgesics, Opioid / adverse effects
  • Atrial Fibrillation* / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Prescriptions
  • Risk Factors
  • Veterans*

Substances

  • Analgesics, Opioid