The phylogenetic reconstruction of the Neotropical cycad genus Ceratozamia (Zamiaceae) reveals disparate patterns of niche evolution

Abstract

The cycad genus Ceratozamia comprises 40 species from Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, and Honduras, where cycads occur throughout climatically varied montane habitats. Ceratozamia has the potential to reveal the history and processes of species diversification across diverse Neotropical habitats in this region. However, the species relationships within Ceratozamia and the ecological trends during its evolution remain unclear. Here, we aimed to clarify the phylogenetic relationships, the timing of clade and species divergences, and the niche evolution throughout the phylogenetic history of Ceratozamia. Genome-wide DNA sequences were obtained with MIG-seq, and multiple data-filtering steps were used to optimize the dataset used to construct an ultrametric species tree. Divergence times among branches and ancestral niches were estimated. The niche variation among species was evaluated, summarized into two principal components, and their ancestral states were reconstructed to test whether niche shifts among branches can be explained by random processes, under a Brownian Motion model. Ceratozamia comprises three main clades, and most species relationships within the clades were resolved. Ceratozamia has diversified since the Oligocene, with major branching events occurring during the Miocene. This timing is consistent with fossil evidence, the timing estimated for other Neotropical plant groups, and the major geological events that shaped the topographic and climatic variation in Mexico. Patterns of niche evolution in the genus do not accord with the Brownian Motion model. Rather, non-random evolution with shifts towards more seasonal environments at high latitudes, or shifts towards humid or dry environments at low latitudes explain the diversification of Ceratozamia. We present a comprehensive phylogenetic reconstruction for Ceratozamia and identify for the first time the environmental factors involved in clade and species diversification within the genus. This study alleviates the controversies regarding the species relationships in the genus and provides the first evidence that latitude-associated environmental factors may influence processes of niche evolution in cycads.

Keywords: Ceratozamia; Climate seasonality; Cycads; Miocene; Neotropics; Niche shift; Phylogenetic history; Phylogeography.