Despite their generally favorable prognosis, luminal A tumors paradoxically pose the highest ten-year recurrence risk among breast cancers. From those that relapse, a quarter of them do it within five years after diagnosis. Identifying such patients is crucial, as long-term relapsers could benefit from extended hormone therapy, whereas early relapsers may require aggressive treatment. In this study, we demonstrate that NCAPH plays a role in the pathogenesis of luminal A breast cancer, contributing to its adverse progression in vitro and in vivo. Furthermore, we reveal that a signature of intratumoral gene expression, associated with elevated levels of NCAPH, serves as a potential marker to identify patients facing unfavorable progression of luminal A breast cancer. Indeed, transgenic mice overexpressing NCAPH generated breast tumors with long latency, and in MMTV-NCAPH/ErbB2+ double-transgenic mice, the luminal tumors formed were more aggressive. In addition, high intratumoral levels of Ncaph were associated with worse breast cancer evolution and poor response to chemotherapy in a cohort of genetically heterogeneous transgenic mice generated by backcrossing. In this cohort of mice, we identified a series of transcripts associated with elevated intratumoral levels of NCAPH, which were linked to adverse progression of breast cancer in both mice and humans. Utilizing the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) multivariate regression analysis on this series of transcripts, we derived a ten-gene risk score. This score is defined by a gene signature (termed Gene Signature for Luminal A 10 or GSLA10) that correlates with unfavorable progression of luminal A breast cancer. The GSLA10 signature surpassed the Oncotype DX signature in discerning tumors with unfavorable outcomes (previously categorized as Luminal A by PAM50) across three independent human cohorts. This GSLA10 signature aids in identifying patients with Luminal A tumors displaying adverse prognosis, who could potentially benefit from personalized treatment strategies.
Keywords: Breast cancer; Genetic signature; LASSO; Luminal A subtype; NCAPH; Prognosis; Relapse-free survival.