[Cardiovascular disease before and after COVID-19 infection: One-year survival]

Abstract

Aim: To analyze the risk of COVID-19 in relation to previous morbidity; to analyze the risk of new cardiovascular events (CVE) in COVID-19 patients and one-year survival.

Methodology: Case-control study and prospective cohort study. Two hundred and seventy-five randomized patients >18 years old with COVID-19 were included and matched with 825 without COVID-19 by age and sex (ratio 1:3). The main variables were diagnosis of COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 events. Sociodemographic variables, comorbidity, and previous CVD were studied. Two predictive models of factors associated with the development of COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 CVE were performed, as well as a one-year survival analysis.

Results: Men with a previous CVE double the risk of suffering from COVID-19 (OR 2.11; 95% CI: 1.32-3.36). In women, the risk increases with age (OR 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.02), diabetes (DM) (OR 1.90; 95% CI: 1.14-3.17) and cognitive impairment (OR 4.88; 95% CI: 2.50-9.53). Immunosuppression acts as a protective factor in both sexes. Age (OR 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04), arterial hypertension (OR 2.21; 95% CI: 1.17-4.17), COVID-19 infection (OR 4.81; 95% CI: 2.89-7.98) and previous CVE (OR 4.46; 95% CI: 2.56-7.75) predict the development of a new post-COVID-19 CVE. Positive COVID-19 has lower survival (median 7 days vs. 184 days).

Conclusions: Previous CVE in men and DM along with cognitive impairment in women increase the risk of presenting COVID-19. Age, arterial hypertension, previous CVE, and COVID-19 infection predict the appearance of new CVE.

Keywords: COVID-19; Cardiovascular event; Comorbidity; Comorbilidad; Evento cardiovascular; Supervivencia; Survival.