Prediction of severe CRS and determination of biomarkers in B cell-acute lymphoblastic leukemia treated with CAR-T cells

Abstract

Introduction: CAR-T cell therapy is a novel approach in the treatment of hematological tumors. However, it is associated with life-threatening side effects, such as the severe cytokine release syndrome (sCRS). Therefore, predicting the occurrence and development of sCRS is of great significance for clinical CAR-T therapy. The study of existing clinical data by artificial intelligence may bring useful information.

Methods: By analyzing the heat map of clinical factors and comparing them between severe and non-severe CRS, we can identify significant differences among these factors and understand their interrelationships. Ultimately, a decision tree approach was employed to predict the timing of severe CRS in both children and adults, considering variables such as the same day, the day before, and initial values.

Results: We measured cytokines and clinical biomarkers in 202 patients who received CAR-T therapy. Peak levels of 25 clinical factors, including IFN-γ, IL6, IL10, ferritin, and D-dimer, were highly associated with severe CRS after CAR T cell infusion. Using the decision tree model, we were able to accurately predict which patients would develop severe CRS consisting of three clinical factors, classified as same-day, day-ahead, and initial value prediction. Changes in serum biomarkers, including C-reactive protein and ferritin, were associated with CRS, but did not alone predict the development of severe CRS.

Conclusion: Our research will provide significant information for the timely prevention and treatment of sCRS, during CAR-T immunotherapy for tumors, which is essential to reduce the mortality rate of patients.

Keywords: CAR-T cell therapy; biomarker; cytokine release syndrome (CRS); decision tree; prediction.