Incident diabetes following acute pancreatitis in a multicenter prospective observational cohort

Abstract

Diabetes mellitus following an episode of acute pancreatitis (AP) is an increasingly discussed complication, but there are sparse prospective data on the incidence and risk factors. We evaluated data from a prospective, multicenter observational cohort study that enrolled adults hospitalized with AP between 2017 and 2021 and followed them for one year. Ninety-eight participants who completed 12-month follow-up were included in this analysis. Diabetes status was assessed using a combination of measured glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) at predetermined time intervals or physician diagnosis. In 68 participants without diabetes at enrollment, the cumulative incidence of new-onset diabetes was 4.4 % (n = 3) at 3 months and 10.3 % (n = 7) at 12 months. No differences were observed in demographic or pancreatitis-related characteristics between those who did versus did not develop diabetes, in part due to small sample size. In summary, new-onset diabetes was identified in approximately 10 % within one year after an episode of AP. Larger prospective studies are needed to further define the incidence, risk factors, and mechanisms of diabetes and pre-diabetes following AP. NCT03063398.

Keywords: Hyperglycemia; Pre-diabetes.