Deep learning-based radiomic nomogram to predict risk categorization of thymic epithelial tumors: A multicenter study

Abstract

Purpose: The study was aimed to develop and evaluate a deep learning-based radiomics to predict the histological risk categorization of thymic epithelial tumors (TETs), which can be highly informative for patient treatment planning and prognostic assessment.

Method: A total of 681 patients with TETs from three independent hospitals were included and separated into derivation cohort and external test cohort. Handcrafted and deep learning features were extracted from preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images and selected to build three radiomics signatures (radiomics signature [Rad_Sig], deep learning signature [DL_Sig] and deep learning radiomics signature [DLR_Sig]) to predict risk categorization of TETs. A deep learning-based radiomic nomogram (DLRN) was then depicted to visualize the classification evaluation. The performance of predictive models was compared using the receiver operating characteristic and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: Among three radiomics signatures, DLR_Sig demonstrated optimum performance with an AUC of 0.883 for the derivation cohort and 0.749 for the external test cohort. Combining DLR_Sig with age and gender, DLRN was depict and exhibited optimum performance among all radiomics models with an AUC of 0.965, accuracy of 0.911, sensitivity of 0.921 and specificity of 0.902 in the derivation cohort, and an AUC of 0.786, accuracy of 0.774, sensitivity of 0.778 and specificity of 0.771 in the external test cohort. The DCA showed that DLRN had greater clinical benefit than other radiomics signatures.

Conclusions: Our study developed and validated a DLRN to accurately predict the risk categorization of TETs, which has potential to facilitate individualized treatment and improve patient prognosis evaluation.

Keywords: Computed tomography; Deep learning; Pathologic risk categorization; Radiomic nomogram; Radiomics; Thymic epithelial tumors.