The Burden of Disease due to COVID-19 (BoCO-19): A study protocol for a secondary analysis of surveillance data in Southern and Eastern Europe, and Central Asia

PLoS One. 2023 Oct 13;18(10):e0292041. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0292041. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic has had an extensive impact on public health worldwide. However, in many countries burden of disease indicators for COVID-19 have not yet been calculated or used for monitoring. The present study protocol describes an approach developed in the project "The Burden of Disease due to COVID-19. Towards a harmonization of population health metrics for the surveillance of dynamic outbreaks" (BoCO-19). The process of data collection and aggregation across 14 different countries and sub-national regions in Southern and Eastern Europe and Central Asia is described, as well as the methodological approaches used.

Materials and methods: The study implemented in BoCO-19 is a secondary data analysis, using information from national surveillance systems as part of mandatory reporting on notifiable diseases. A customized data collection template is used to gather aggregated data on population size as well as COVID-19 cases and deaths. Years of life lost (YLL), as one component of the number of Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALY), are calculated as described in a recently proposed COVID-19 disease model (the 'Burden-EU' model) for the calculation of DALY. All-cause mortality data are collected for excess mortality sensitivity analyses. For the calculation of Years lived with disability (YLD), the Burden-EU model is adapted based on recent evidence. Because Covid-19 cases vary in terms of disease severity, the possibility and suitability of applying a uniform severity distribution of cases across all countries and sub-national regions will be explored. An approach recently developed for the Global Burden of Disease Study, that considers post-acute consequences of COVID-19, is likely to be adopted. Findings will be compared to explore the quality and usability of the existing data, to identify trends across age-groups and sexes and to formulate recommendations concerning potential improvements in data availability and quality.

Discussion: BoCO-19 serves as a collaborative platform in order to build international capacity for the calculation of burden of disease indicators, and to support national experts in the analysis and interpretation of country-specific data, including their strengths and weaknesses. Challenges include inherent differences in data collection and reporting systems between countries, as well as assumptions that have to be made during the calculation process.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Asia, Central
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Cost of Illness
  • Europe, Eastern
  • Humans
  • Pandemics*
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years

Grants and funding

The project "The Burden of Disease due to COVID-19: Towards a harmonization of population health metrics for the surveillance of dynamic outbreaks" (Short title: BoCO-19) is funded within the German Federal Ministry of Health’s Global Health Protection Programme (https://ghpp.de/en/). The funding is provided as an allocation of federal funds in the area of the Federal Ministry of Health; Chapter 1505 Title 68601 in the financial year 2021. On behalf of the Robert Koch Institute as the National Public Health Institute in Germany AR is the main funding recipient and principal investigator. The funders had and will not have a role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.