The Causal Effect of Obesity on the Risk of 15 Autoimmune Diseases: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Abstract

Introduction: Observational studies have shown that obesity is a risk factor for various autoimmune diseases. However, the causal relationship between obesity and autoimmune diseases is unclear. Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to investigate the causal effects of obesity on 15 autoimmune diseases.

Methods: MR analysis employed instrumental variables, specifically single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with obesity measures such as body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, hip circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio. The study utilized UK Biobank and FinnGen data to estimate the causal relationship between obesity and autoimmune diseases.

Results: Genetically predicted BMI was associated with risk for five autoimmune diseases. The odds ratio per 1-SD increase in genetically predicted BMI, the OR was 1.28 (95% CI, 1.18-1.09; p < 0.001) for asthma, 1.37 (95% CI, 1.24-1.51; p < 0.001) for hypothyroidism, 1.52 (95% CI, 1.27-1.83; p < 0.001) for psoriasis, 1.22 (95% CI, 1.06-1.40; p = 0.005) for rheumatoid arthritis, and 1.55 (95% CI, 1.32-1.83; p < 0.001) for type 1 diabetes. However, after adjusting for genetic susceptibility to drinking and smoking, the correlation between BMI and rheumatoid arthritis was not statistically significant. Genetically predicted waist circumference, hip circumference, and waist and hip circumference were associated with 6, 6, and 1 autoimmune disease, respectively.

Conclusion: This study suggests that obesity may be associated with an increased risk of several autoimmune diseases, such as asthma, hypothyroidism, psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, and type 1 diabetes.

Keywords: Autoimmune diseases; Causal effects; Mendelian randomization; Obesity.