Background Data are rare about the incidence of severe Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD) and its association with mortality. We sought to: (1) estimate the probability of developing severe FALD in patients who undergo the Fontan procedure (Fontan patients), compared with severe liver complications in patients with a ventricular septal defect; (2) assess the severe FALD-mortality association; and (3) identify risk factors for developing severe FALD. Methods and Results Using the Quebec Congenital Heart Disease database, a total of 512 Fontan patients and 10 232 patients with a ventricular septal defect were identified. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated significantly higher cumulative risk of severe FALD in Fontan patients (11.95% and 52.24% at 10 and 35 years, respectively), than the risk of severe liver complications in patients with a ventricular septal defect (0.50% and 2.75%, respectively). At 5 years, the cumulative risk of death was 12.60% in patients with severe FALD versus 3.70% in Fontan patients without FALD (log-rank P=0.0171). Cox proportional hazard models identified significant associations between the development of severe FALD and congestive heart failure and supraventricular tachycardia, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.36 (95% CI, 1.38-4.02) and 2.45 (95% CI, 1.37-4.39), respectively. More recent Fontan completion was related to reduced risks of severe FALD, with an HR of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.93-0.97) for each more recent year. Conclusions This large-scale population-based study documents that severe FALD in Fontan patients was associated with a >3-fold increase in mortality. The risk of FALD is time-dependent and can reach >50% by 35 years after the Fontan operation. Conditions promoting poor Fontan hemodynamics were associated with severe FALD development.
Keywords: Fontan procedure; congenital heart defects; liver diseases; mortality; risk factor.