PROSPECTIVE EXAMINATION OF THE K/ICA RATIO AS A PREDICTOR FOR MORTALITY IN SEVERE HEMORRHAGE

Abstract

Background: Patients receiving massive transfusion protocol (MTP) are at risk for posttransfusion hypocalcemia and hyperkalemia. Previous retrospective analysis has suggested the potassium/ionized calcium (K/iCa) ratio as a prognostic indicator of mortality. This prospective study sought to validate the value of the K/iCa ratio as a predictor for mortality in patients receiving MTP. Methods: This was a prospective analysis of adult trauma patients who underwent MTP activation from May 2019 to March 2021 at an urban level 1 trauma center. Serum potassium and iCa levels within 0 to 1 h of MTP initiation were used to obtain K/iCa. Receiver operator characteristic curve analysis assessed predictive capacity of K/iCa on mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression examined the effect of K/iCa ratio on survival. Results: A total of 110 of 300 MTP activation patients met inclusion criteria. Overall mortality rate was 31.8%. No significant differences between the elevated K/iCa and lower K/iCa groups were found for prehospital or emergency department initial vitals, shock index, or injury severity. However, nonsurvivors had a significantly higher median K/iCa ratio compared with those who survived ( P < 0.01). Multivariable logistic regression revealed the total number of blood products to be significantly associated with elevated K/iCa (odds ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04; P = 0.01). The Kaplan Meier survival curve demonstrated a significantly increased rate of survival for those with an elevated K/iCa ratio ( P < 0.01). Multivariable Cox regression adjusted for confounders showed a significant association between K/iCa and mortality (Hazard Ratio, 4.12; 95% CI, 1.89-8.96; P < 0.001). Conclusion: This evidence further highlights the importance of the K/iCa ratio in predicting mortality among trauma patients receiving MTP. Furthermore, it demonstrates that posttransfusion K levels along with iCa levels should be carefully monitored in the MTP setting. Level of Evidence: Level II. Study Type: Prognostic/epidemiological.