Objectives: To predict KRAS mutation in rectal cancer (RC) through computer vision of [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) by using metric learning (ML).
Methods: This study included 160 patients with RC who had undergone preoperative PET/CT. KRAS mutation was identified through polymerase chain reaction analysis. This model combined ML with the deep-learning framework to analyze PET data with or without CT images. The Batch Balance Wrapper framework and K-fold cross-validation were employed during the learning process. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the model's predictive performance.
Results: Genetic alterations in KRAS were identified in 82 (51%) tumors. Both PET and CT images were used, and the proposed model had an area under the ROC curve of 0.836 for its ability to predict a mutation status. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 75.3%, 79.3%, and 77.5%, respectively. When PET images alone were used, the area under the curve was 0.817, whereas the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 73.2%, 79.6%, and 76.2%, respectively.
Conclusions: The ML model presented herein revealed that baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT images could provide supplemental information to determine KRAS mutation in RC. Additional studies are required to maximize the predictive accuracy.
Advances in knowledge: The results of the ML model presented herein indicate that baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT images could provide supplemental information for determining KRAS mutation in RC.The predictive accuracy of the model was 77.5% when both image types were used and 76.2% when PET images alone were used. Additional studies are required to maximize the predictive accuracy.