Elevated serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio as a protective factor on outcomes after heart transplantation

Abstract

Background: The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of serum albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR) in patients receiving heart transplantation of end-stage heart failure.

Methods: From January 2015 to December 2020, a total of 460 patients who underwent heart transplantation were included in this retrospective analysis. According to the maximum Youden index, the optimal cut-off value was identified. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to describe survival rates, and multivariable analyses were conducted with Cox proportional hazard models. Meanwhile, logistic regression analysis was applied to evaluate predictors for postoperative complications. The accuracy of risk prediction was evaluated by using the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots.

Results: The optimal cut-off value was 37.54 for ACR. Univariable analysis indicated that recipient age, IABP, RAAS, BB, Hb, urea nitrogen, D-dimer, troponin, TG, and ACR were significant prognostic factors of overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis showed that preoperative ACR (HR: 0.504, 95% = 0.352-0.722, P < 0.001) was still an independent prognostic factor of OS. The nomogram for predicting 1-year and 5-year OS in patients who underwent heart transplantation without ACR (C-index = 0.631) and with ACR (C-index = 0.671). Besides, preoperative ACR level was a significant independent predictor of postoperative respiratory complications, renal complications, liver injury, infection and in-hospital death. Moreover, the calibration plot showed good consistency between the predictions by the nomogram for OS and the actual outcomes.

Conclusion: Our research showed that ACR is a favorable prognostic indicator in patients of heart transplantation.

Keywords: albumin/creatinine ratio; heart failure; heart transplantation; nomogram; prognosis.