City-level decoupling between livestock and crop production and its effect on fertilizer usage: Evidence from China

Abstract

China is one of the largest producers of livestock production and also with tremendous fertilizer consumption in crop production, regional decoupling between livestock and crop production often results in fertilizer overuse and environmental pollution. However, city-level coupling analysis between livestock and crop production is rare, and its impact on fertilizer usage also remains unclear. Here, we evaluated the nitrogen (N) nutrient supply from the livestock breeding sector and the N nutrient demand of cropland during the 2007-2020 period in a typical agricultural region in China. The city-level coupling degree of livestock and crop production and the effect on fertilizer usage were explored with spatial analysis and regression methods. Our results show that the province level has a relatively high coupling degree. However, significant spatial heterogeneity was found at the city level, especially in western Sichuan Province due to the highly unbalanced distribution of livestock and crop production, and this decoupling phenomenon may hinder fertilizer reduction. Furthermore, we reveal that technological development is not an effective way to achieve sustainable agriculture without other policy instruments, such as livestock spatial relocation, which must be considered when formulating crop-livestock integration policies. The findings expand city-level knowledge of the livestock-crop system and provide important implications for adjusting agricultural practices to realize sustainable agricultural development.

Keywords: City-level decoupling; Fertilizer usage; Livestock-crop integration; Spatial heterogeneity; Sustainable agricultures.