Diabetes burden, trends, and inequalities in western pacific region, 1990-2019: A population-based study

Diabetes Metab Syndr. 2023 Sep;17(9):102852. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2023.102852. Epub 2023 Sep 11.

Abstract

Aims: The aim was to describe the diabetes regional burden, trends, and inequalities in the Western Pacific region.

Methods: The Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was used to evaluate the prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in diabetes in the Western Pacific region from 1990 to 2019. Cross-country inequalities in the DALY rates of diabetes were estimated between 1990 and 2019.

Results: The age-standardized incidence of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the Western Pacific region increased from 2.6 to 3.8 per 100,000 population (AAPC, 0.97 [95% CI 0.84 to 1.1]) and from 174.8 to 207.3 per 100,000 population (AAPC, 0.63 [95% CI 0.48 to 0.77]) between 1990 and 2019, respectively. The most substantial increase in the incidence of T1DM and T2DM was found in the groups aged 70 years and older (AAPC, 2.38 [95% CI 2.19 to 2.58]) and 15-49 years (AAPC, 1.58 [95% CI 1.43 to 1.72]) from 1990 to 2019, respectively. Age-standardized DALYs for T1DM decreased but those for T2DM increased between 1990 and 2019. The relative concentration index of DALYs in T1DM and T2DM changed from 0.11 in 1990 to -0.08 in 2019 and from 0.03 in 1990 to -0.04 in 2019, respectively.

Conclusions: Over three decades, diabetes incidence in the Western Pacific region rose substantially, with inequalities among countries. The burden shifted from higher to lower sociodemographic index countries. Diabetes remains a public health challenge, especially among young populations. Urgent interventions for prevention and early detection are crucial.

Keywords: Diabetes; Disease burden; Epidemiology; Inequalities; Western pacific region.