This study investigated whether the BARD score at diagnosis could predict all-cause mortality in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). This study included 236 immunosuppressive drug-naïve patients without chronic liver diseases such as viral hepatitis, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and advanced liver diseases and their clinical data at diagnosis, such as age, sex, and the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS). The BARD score was calculated by the sum of aspartate transaminase (AST)/alanine transaminase (ALT) ratio ≥ 0.8 (+2 points), body mass index (BMI) ≥ 28 kg/m2 (+1 point), and the presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (+1 point). All-cause mortality was investigated as a poor outcome of AAV. The median age of AAV patients was 60.0 years, and 34.7% were men. Among AAV patients, 7, 50, and 187 scored 1, 1, and 2 points owing to having a BMI ≥ 28 kg/m2, T2DM, and an AST/ALT ratio ≥ 0.8, respectively. Patients with a BARD score ≥ 2 and those with a BARD score ≥ 3 exhibited significantly lower cumulative patient survival rates than those without (p = 0.038 and p = 0.003, respectively). In the multivariable Cox analysis, among the two cut-offs of the BARD scores, only a BARD score ≥ 3 (HR 2.866), along with age (HR 1.061), male sex (HR 2.327), and BVAS (HR 1.100), was independently associated with all-cause mortality during follow-up. In conclusion, this study was the first to demonstrate that the BARD score ≥ 3 at AAV diagnosis could predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in AAV patients.
Keywords: BARD score; antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody; mortality; vasculitis.