Assessing the impacts of climate variables on long-term air quality trends in Peninsular Malaysia

Yijing Zheng; Maggie Chel Gee Ooi; Liew Juneng; Hin Boo Wee; Mohd Talib Latif; Mohd Shahrul Mohd Nadzir; Norfazrin Mohd Hanif; Andy Chan; Li Li; Norfazilah Binti Ahmad; Fredolin Tangang

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166430

Assessing the impacts of climate variables on long-term air quality trends in Peninsular Malaysia

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Nov 25:901:166430. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166430. Epub 2023 Aug 20.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ Centre of Tropical Climate Change System, Insitute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia; School of Atmospheric Sciences, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, China.
² Centre of Tropical Climate Change System, Insitute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia. Electronic address: chelgee.ooi@ukm.edu.my.
³ Department of Earth Sciences and Environment, Faculty of Sciences and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia.
⁴ Centre of Tropical Climate Change System, Insitute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia.
⁵ School of Engineering, Robert Gordon University, Aberdeen AB10 7GE, United Kingdom.
⁶ School of Environmental and Chemical Engineering, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China; Key Laboratory of Organic Compound Pollution Control Engineering (MOE), Shanghai University, Shanghai, China.
⁷ Department of Public Health Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 56000 Cheras, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

PMID: 37607626
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166430

Abstract

Climate change is thought to influence the composition of atmospheric air, but little is known about the direct relationship between these variables, especially in a hot tropical climate like that of Malaysia. This work summarizes and analyzes the climate state and air quality of Peninsular Malaysia based on selected ground-based observations of the temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, wind speed, wind direction and concentrations of PM₁₀, O₃, CO, NO₂, and SO₂ over the last 20 years (2000-2019). The relationship between the climate state and air quality is analyzed using the Pearson correlation and canonical correlation analysis (CCA) methods is employed to predict the degree of change in the future air quality under different warming scenarios. It is found that the Peninsular Malaysia mainly experienced strong precipitation in the central and mountainous regions, while air pollutants are primarily concentrated in densely populated areas. Throughout the period of study (interannual, monthly, and diurnal time series analyses), Peninsular Malaysia became warmer and drier, with a significant increase in temperature (+4.2 %), decrease in the relative humidity (-4.5 %), and greater fluctuation in precipitation amount. The pollution conditions have worsened; there has been an increase in the PM₁₀ (+16.4 %), O₃ (+39.5 %), and NO₂ (+2.1 %) concentration over the last 20 years. However, the amount of SO₂ (-53.6 %) and CO (-20.6 %) decreased significantly. The analysis of the monthly variation shows a strong bimodality of the PM₁₀ and O₃ concentrations that corresponds to the monsoon transition. Intensive diurnal fluctuations and correlations are observed for all the variables in this study. According to the CCA, the air quality factors are strongly correlated with meteorological factors; in particular, the CO, O₃, and PM₁₀ concentrations interact strongly with the air temperature. These findings show that the future air quality in Peninsular Malaysia has high possibility to deteriorate under warming condition.

Keywords: Canonical correlation analysis; Global warming; Ozone; Temperature.