Capturing the Individual Deviations From Normative Models of Brain Structure for Depression Diagnosis and Treatment

Abstract

Background: The high heterogeneity of depression prevents us from obtaining reproducible and definite anatomical maps of brain structural changes associated with the disorder, which limits the individualized diagnosis and treatment of patients. In this study, we investigated the clinical issues related to depression according to individual deviations from normative ranges of gray matter volume.

Methods: We enrolled 1092 participants, including 187 patients with depression and 905 healthy control participants. Structural magnetic resonance imaging data of healthy control participants from the Human Connectome Project (n = 510) and REST-meta-MDD Project (n = 229) were used to establish a normative model across the life span in adults 18 to 65 years old for each brain region. Deviations from the normative range for 187 patients and 166 healthy control participants recruited from two local hospitals were captured as normative probability maps, which were used to identify the disease risk and treatment-related latent factors.

Results: In contrast to case-control results, our normative modeling approach revealed highly individualized patterns of anatomic abnormalities in depressed patients (less than 11% extreme deviation overlapping for any regions). Based on our classification framework, models trained with individual normative probability maps (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve range, 0.7146-0.7836) showed better performance than models trained with original gray matter volume values (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve range, 0.6800-0.7036), which was verified in an independent external test set. Furthermore, different latent brain structural factors in relation to antidepressant treatment were revealed by a Bayesian model based on normative probability maps, suggesting distinct treatment response and inclination.

Conclusions: Capturing personalized deviations from a normative range could help in understanding the heterogeneous neurobiology of depression and thus guide clinical diagnosis and treatment of depression.

Keywords: Depression; Diagnostic classification; Heterogeneity; Individual brain structural deviation; Normative modeling; Treatment prediction.