A clinically practical model for the preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in bladder cancer: a multicohort study

Br J Cancer. 2023 Oct;129(7):1166-1175. doi: 10.1038/s41416-023-02383-y. Epub 2023 Aug 4.

Abstract

Background: The aim of this study was to construct a clinically practical model to precisely predict lymph node (LN) metastasis in bladder cancer patients.

Methods: Four independent cohorts were included. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression with multivariate logistic regression were applied. The diagnostic efficacy of LN score and CT/MRI was compared by accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under curve (AUC).

Results: A total of 606 patients were included to develop a basic prediction model. After multistep gene selection, the LN metastasis prediction model was constructed with 5 genes. The model can accurately predict LN metastasis with an AUC of 0.781. For clinically practical use, we transformed the model into a Fast LN Scoring System using the SYSMH cohort (n = 105). High LN score patients exhibited a 72.2% LN metastasis rate, while low LN score patients showed a 3.4% LN metastasis rate. The LN score achieved a superior accuracy than CT/MRI (0.882 vs. 0.727). Application of LN score can correct the diagnosis of 88% (22/25) patients who were misdiagnosed by CT/MRI.

Discussion: The clinically practical LN score can precisely, rapidly, and conveniently predict LN status, which will assist preoperative diagnosis for LN metastasis and guide precise therapy.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Lymph Nodes / pathology
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Urinary Bladder Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Urinary Bladder Neoplasms* / surgery