Combined exposure to multiple metals on hypertension in NHANES under four statistical models

Abstract

Metals exposure has gained increasing attention in the hypertension prevention. However, previous studies have focused on the impacts of single or separated metals on hypertension, and the critical metals contributing to the prevalence of hypertension are still under discussion. We collected data from 5092 participants across three consecutive National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) circles (2011-2016). Weighted logistic regression, weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression, quantile-based g-computation (QGC), and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) analyses were conducted to evaluate the combined and individual effects of 15 urinary metals, as well as to identify the critical metals on the development of hypertension. In our study, the weighted prevalence of hypertension was 37.9%, and the average age was 47.42 years. Manganese, uranium and tin were found as the independent risk factors for hypertension, while barium, lead, and thallium were found to have protective effects against hypertension. Lead, barium, tungsten, uranium, and tin were determined as critical elements for the prediction of hypertension. No significant interaction relationship was detected between multiple metals. There might be potential positive combined effects of urinary metal mixture on hypertension. Tungsten, uranium, and tin were positively associated with hypertension while lead and barium were negatively associated with hypertension. The underlying mechanisms of urinary metal exposure on the risk of hypertension deserve further investigations.

Keywords: Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR); Metals; National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES); Quantile-based g-computation (QGC); Restricted cubic splines (RCS); Weighted quantile sum (WQS).