Comparing the evolutionary dynamics of predominant SARS-CoV-2 virus lineages co-circulating in Mexico

Elife. 2023 Jul 27:12:e82069. doi: 10.7554/eLife.82069.

Abstract

Over 200 different SARS-CoV-2 lineages have been observed in Mexico by November 2021. To investigate lineage replacement dynamics, we applied a phylodynamic approach and explored the evolutionary trajectories of five dominant lineages that circulated during the first year of local transmission. For most lineages, peaks in sampling frequencies coincided with different epidemiological waves of infection in Mexico. Lineages B.1.1.222 and B.1.1.519 exhibited similar dynamics, constituting clades that likely originated in Mexico and persisted for >12 months. Lineages B.1.1.7, P.1 and B.1.617.2 also displayed similar dynamics, characterized by multiple introduction events leading to a few successful extended local transmission chains that persisted for several months. For the largest B.1.617.2 clades, we further explored viral lineage movements across Mexico. Many clades were located within the south region of the country, suggesting that this area played a key role in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Mexico.

Keywords: COVID-19; Latin America; SARS-CoV-2; epidemiology; evolutionary biology; genomic epidemiology; global health; phylodynamics; viruses.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Biological Evolution
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Mexico / epidemiology
  • Phylogeny
  • SARS-CoV-2 / genetics

Supplementary concepts

  • SARS-CoV-2 variants

Grants and funding

The funders had no role in study design, data collection and interpretation, or the decision to submit the work for publication.