Disproportionation is a major issue in formulations containing salts of weakly basic drugs. Despite considerable interest in risk assessment approaches for disproportionation, the prediction of salt-to-base conversion remains challenging. Recent studies have highlighted several confounding factors other than pHmax that appear to play an important role in salt disproportionation and have suggested that kinetic barriers need to be considered in addition to the thermodynamic driving force when assessing the risk of a salt to undergo conversion to parent free base. Herein, we describe the concurrent application of in situ Raman spectroscopy and pH monitoring to investigate the disproportionation kinetics of three model salts, pioglitazone hydrochloride, sorafenib tosylate, and atazanavir sulfate, in aqueous slurries. We found that even for favorable thermodynamic conditions (i.e., pH ≫ pHmax), disproportionation kinetics of the salts were very different despite each system having a similar pHmax. The importance of free base nucleation kinetics was highlighted by the observation that the disproportionation conversion time in the slurries showed the same trend as the free base nucleation induction time. Pioglitazone hydrochloride, with a free base induction time of <1 min, rapidly converted to the free base in slurry experiments. In contrast, atazanavir sulfate, where the free base induction time was much longer, took several hours to undergo disproportionation in the slurry for pH ≫ pHmax. Additionally, we altered an established thermodynamically based modeling framework to account for kinetic effects (representing the nucleation kinetic barrier) to estimate the solid-state stability of salt formulations. In conclusion, a solution-based thermodynamic model is mechanistically appropriate to predict salt disproportionation in a solid-state formulation, when kinetic barriers are also taken into consideration.
Keywords: kinetic barriers; modeling; nucleation; pHmax; salt disproportionation; simulation; weakly basic drugs.