Predicting outcomes following short-term ventricular assist device implant with the MELD-XI score

Artif Organs. 2023 Nov;47(11):1752-1761. doi: 10.1111/aor.14617. Epub 2023 Aug 21.

Abstract

Background: Short-term continuous flow (STCF) ventricular assist devices (VADs) are utilized in adults with cardiogenic shock; however, mortality remains high. Previous studies have found that high pre-operative MELD-XI scores in durable VAD patients are associated with mortality. The use of the MELD-XI score to predict outcomes in STCF-VAD patients has not been explored. We sought to determine the relationship between MELD-XI and outcomes in adults with STCF-VADs.

Methods: This was a retrospective review of adults implanted with STCF-VADs between 2009 and 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to predict outcomes and Kaplan-Meier analysis was done to assess survival.

Results: Seventy-nine patients were included with a median MELD-XI score of 21.2 (IQR 13.5, 27.0). Patients with an unsuccessful wean from support (p < 0.001) or major post-operative bleeding (p = 0.03) had significantly higher pre-implant MELD-XI scores. The optimal MELD-XI cut-point for mortality was 24.9 with 27.8 for major bleeding. Survival was worse among patients in the high-risk MELD-XI group, however, not statistically significant (p = 0.09). Prior ECMO support, but not MELD-XI, was an independent predictor of unsuccessful wean (p = 0.03).

Conclusions: Pre-operative MELD-XI score was a moderate predictor of unsuccessful wean with limited utility in predicting bleeding in patients on STCF-VAD support. This scoring system may be useful in the clinical setting for pre-implant risk stratification and counseling among patients and outcomes.

Keywords: MELD-XI; heart failure; outcomes; temporary support; ventricular assist devices.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • End Stage Liver Disease* / complications
  • Heart Failure* / complications
  • Heart Failure* / surgery
  • Heart Transplantation*
  • Heart-Assist Devices* / adverse effects
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Liver
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Severity of Illness Index