Adaptive experimental design produces superior and more efficient estimates of predator functional response

PLoS One. 2023 Jul 20;18(7):e0288445. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0288445. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Ecological dynamics are strongly influenced by the relationship between prey density and predator feeding behavior-that is, the predatory functional response. A useful understanding of this relationship requires us to distinguish between competing models of the functional response, and to robustly estimate the model parameters. Recent advances in this topic have revealed bias in model comparison, as well as in model parameter estimation in functional response studies, mainly attributed to the quality of data. Here, we propose that an adaptive experimental design framework can mitigate these challenges. We then present the first practical demonstration of the improvements it offers over standard experimental design. Our results reveal that adaptive design can efficiently identify the preferred functional response model among the competing models, and can produce much more precise posterior distributions for the estimated functional response parameters. By increasing the efficiency of experimentation, adaptive experimental design will lead to reduced logistical burden.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Female
  • Male
  • Models, Biological
  • Predatory Behavior* / physiology
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Research Design*

Grants and funding

Christopher Drovandi was supported by an Australian Research Council Discovery Project (DP200102101).