Costs of preventing and supressing wildfires in Victoria, Australia

Abstract

Land managers around the world are increasingly under pressure to demonstrate that the actions being used to moderate wildfire risk are effective and cost-efficient. However, little research to date has focused on determining cost-efficiency of management actions or identified the factors which increase the costs of performing such actions. Here, we aimed to identify the key drivers of cost for fuel management (prescribed burning, mulching, and slashing), fuel breaks, and suppression using data from the state of Victoria, Australia. We utilise generalised additive models to understand how environmental factors, terrain, location, and management decisions influence the cost of implementing wildfire management efforts. These models show that cost per unit declines as the area treated or the area of the fire increases for all four management approaches. Therefore, preventative, and responsive management actions represent economies of scale that reduce in cost with larger treatments. We also found that there were regional differences in the cost of fuel management and fuel breaks, potentially related to the structure of resourcing treatments in each region and the availability of land on which it is feasible to implement management. Cost of suppression per fire increased with the number of fire fighters and when there were more fires occurring concurrently in the landscape. Identifying the key drivers of cost for preventative and responsive management actions could enable managers to allocate resources to these actions more efficiently in future. Understanding drivers of cost-efficiency could be critical for adapting management to shifts in wildfire risk, particularly given climate change will alter the window in which it is safe to apply some preventative fuel management actions and reduce suppression effectiveness.

Keywords: Fuel breaks; Fuel treatment; Mulching; Prescribed burning; Suppression; Wildfire management.