Establishment and validation of a prognostic signature for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on lactate metabolism-related genes

Abstract

Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most aggressive and lethal malignancy with poor prognosis. To improve patient outcomes, it is necessary to gain a better understanding of the oncogenesis and progression of this disease. Metabolic reprogramming, particularly the regulation of lactate metabolism, is known to have a significant impact on tumor microenvironment and could provide valuable insights for the management of PDAC patients. In this study, we aimed to investigate the prognostic potential of lactate metabolism-related genes (LMRGs). Methods: Transcriptomic data of patients with PDAC along with the clinical outcomes were retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas database, and the expression data in normal pancreas from Genotype-Tissue Expression dataset were adopted as the normal control. By using Cox and LASSO regression models, we identified key genes that are differentially expressed in cancerous tissues and related to prognosis. To determine the prognostic value of LMRGs in PDAC, we evaluated their clinical significance and model performance using both the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curves. In addition, we evaluated the drug sensitivity prediction and immune infiltration by using oncoPredict algorithm, single sample gene set enrichment analysis and Tumor Immune Estimation Resource. Results: A total of 123 LMRGs were identified through differential gene screening analysis, among which 7 LMRGs were identified to comprise a LMRGs signature that independently predict overall survival of these PDAC patient. The AUC values for the LMRGs signature were 0.786, 0.820, 0.837, and 0.816 for predicting 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year overall survival respectively. Furthermore, this prognostic signature was used to stratify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups, with the former having worse clinical outcomes. This observation was further validated through analysis of the International Cancer Genome Consortium database. In addition, lower sensitivity to gemcitabine and infiltration of immune effector cells were observed in the cancer tissue of patients in the high-risk group. Conclusion: In conclusion, our data suggests that a genomic signature comprised of these LMRGs may be a novel predictor of overall clinical outcomes and present therapeutic potential for PDAC patients.

Keywords: chemotherapy; immune infiltration; lactate metabolism; pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; signature.