Dynamics of a cross-superdiffusive SIRS model with delay effects in transmission and treatment

Nonlinear Dyn. 2023 May 19:1-21. doi: 10.1007/s11071-023-08530-7. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

We investigate the dynamics of a SIRS epidemiological model taking into account cross-superdiffusion and delays in transmission, Beddington-DeAngelis incidence rate and Holling type II treatment. The superdiffusion is induced by inter-country and inter-urban exchange. The linear stability analysis for the steady-state solutions is performed, and the basic reproductive number is calculated. The sensitivity analysis of the basic reproductive number is presented, and we show that some parameters strongly influence the dynamics of the system. A bifurcation analysis to determine the direction and stability of the model is carried out using the normal form and center manifold theorem. The results reveal a proportionality between the transmission delay and the diffusion rate. The numerical results show the formation of patterns in the model, and their epidemiological implications are discussed.

Keywords: Bifurcation analysis; Cross-superdiffusion; Epidemiological model; Pattern formation; Time delays.