Background: A basal serum calcitonin (Ct) increase >100 pg/mL in patients with a thyroid nodule is consistent with the diagnosis of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). In cases where the CT test have a slight to moderate increase, the calcium gluconate stimulation test is helpful to increase diagnostic accuracy. However, reliable cut-offs for calcium-stimulated Ct are still lacking. The aim of this study was to evaluate the sex-specific calcium-stimulated Ct cutoffs for the diagnosis of MTC in a multicenter series. A comparison between different Ct assays has been also performed.
Methods: 90 subjects undergone calcium-stimulated Ct for a suspected MTC in 5 Endocrine Units between 2010-2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Serum Ct concentrations were assessed by immunoradiometric (IRMA) or chemiluminescence (CLIA) assays.
Results: MTC was diagnosed in 37 (41.1%) and excluded in 53 (58.9%) patients. The best calcium-stimulated Ct cut-off to identify MTC was 611 pg/mL in males (AUC =0.90, 95% CI (0.76;1) and 445 pg/mL in females (AUC=0.79, 95% CI (0.66;0.91). Logistic regression analysis showed that both basal (OR 1.01, P=0.003) and peak Ct after stimulation (OR 1.07, P=0.007) were significantly associated with MTC, together with sex (OR=0.06, P<0.001). The "Ct assay" variable was also considered in the logistic regression model, but it was not significantly associated with MTC (OR=0.93, P=0.919).
Conclusions: This study indicates that calcium test could be helpful to identify patients with early-stage MTC and those without MTC. A Ct value of 611 pg/mL in males and 445 pg/mL in females are proposed as the optimal Ct cut-offs at the stimulation test.