Estimates of mpox effective reproduction number in Spain, April-August 2022

Epidemiol Infect. 2023 Jun 16:151:e112. doi: 10.1017/S0950268823000985.

Abstract

We analysed the transmission of the human mpox virus in Spain by estimating the effective reproduction number of the disease from official surveillance data. Our computations show that this decreased steadily after an initial burst phase, dropping below 1 on July 12, and thus the outbreak was expected to reduce in the following weeks. Differences in trends were found across geographical regions of the country and across MSM and heterosexual populations.

Keywords: Spain; monkeypox; transmission.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Basic Reproduction Number
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Humans
  • Mpox (monkeypox)*
  • Spain / epidemiology