Ensuring the safety of Arctic shipping and preserving the Arctic ecological environment are emerging as key challenges in the shipping sector. Ship collisions and getting trapped in ice are frequently occurring under dynamic ice conditions due to the Arctic environment, making research on ship navigation in Arctic routes significant. Leveraging ship networking technology, we developed an intelligent microscopic model which considered factors such as the future motion trends of multi-ships in front and the influence of pack ice, and carried out a stability analysis of the model utilizing linear and nonlinear methods. Additionally, the accuracy of the theoretical results was further validated through simulation experiments with diverse scenarios. The conclusions manifest that the model can magnify the anti-disturbance ability of traffic flow. Additionally, the problem of energy consumption due to ship speed is explored, and it is determined that the model has a positive intention in reducing speed fluctuations and ship energy consumption. This paper highlights the potential of intelligent microscopic models in studying the safety and sustainability of Arctic shipping routes, providing targeted initiatives to improve safety, efficiency, and sustainability in Arctic shipping.
Keywords: Arctic route; Energy consumption; Maritime safety; Ship-following model; Stability analysis; Traffic flow.
© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.