Objective: The authors explored potential unintended consequences of Medicare policy changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic for beneficiaries with behavioral health care needs.
Methods: The authors collected policies relevant to mental health and substance use care. Informed by a literature review conducted in spring 2022, the authors convened a modified Delphi panel with 13 experts in June 2022. The authors assessed expert consensus through panelist surveys conducted before and after the panel convened.
Results: Two policies that had a risk for unintended consequences for those with behavioral health care needs were identified. Panelists identified a discharge planning waiver as likely to decrease care access, care quality, and desirable outcomes and HIPAA enforcement discretion as likely to increase access to care and desirable outcomes (with some mixed effects on other outcomes) for Medicare beneficiaries with mental illness or substance use disorders.
Conclusions: Policies implemented quickly during the pandemic did not always account for unintended consequences for beneficiaries with behavioral health care needs.
Keywords: Alcohol and drug use; COVID-19; Medicare; Mental illness; Public policy issues.