The aim of this study is to determine the critical time intervals and influencing covariates for in-hospital mortality in geriatric trauma and orthopedic patients. During a period of five years, we retrospectively review patients aged > 60 years who were hospitalized at the Department of Trauma, Orthopedic, and Plastic Surgery. The primary outcome is the mean time to death. Survival analysis is performed using an accelerated failure time model. A total of 5388 patients are included in the analysis. Two-thirds underwent surgery (n = 3497, 65%) and one-third were conservatively treated (n = 1891, 35%). The in-hospital mortality rate is 3.1% (n = 168; surgery, n = 112; conservative, n = 56). The mean time to death is 23.3 days (±18.8) after admission in the surgery group and 11.3 days (±12.5) in the conservative treatment group. The greatest accelerating effect on mortality is found in the intensive care unit (16.52, p < 0.001). We are able to identify a critical time interval for in-hospital mortality between days 11 and 23. The day of death on weekend days/holidays, hospitalization for conservative treatment, and treatment at the intensive care unit significantly increase the risk of in-hospital mortality. Early mobilization and a short hospitalization duration seem to be of major importance in fragile patients.
Keywords: geriatric; mortality; surgery.