Partial least squares regression to calculate population balance model parameters from material properties in continuous twin-screw wet granulation

Abstract

In the pharmaceutical industry, twin-screw wet granulation has become a realistic option for the continuous manufacturing of solid drug products. Towards the efficient design, population balance models (PBMs) have been recognized as a tool to compute granule size distribution and understand physical phenomena. However, the missing link between material properties and the model parameters limits the swift applicability and generalization of new active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). This paper proposes partial least squares (PLS) regression models to assess the impact of material properties on PBM parameters. The parameters of the compartmental one-dimensional PBMs were derived for ten formulations with varying liquid-to-solid ratios and connected with material properties and liquid-to-solid ratios by PLS models. As a result, key material properties were identified in order to calculate it with the necessary accuracy. Size- and moisture-related properties were influential in the wetting zone whereas density-related properties were more dominant in the kneading zones.

Keywords: Continuous manufacturing; Data-driven model; Granule size distribution; Hybrid model; Mechanistic model; Solid drug products.