On the analysis of the fractional model of COVID-19 under the piecewise global operators

Math Biosci Eng. 2023 Jan 31;20(4):6134-6173. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2023265.

Abstract

An expanding field of study that offers fresh and intriguing approaches to both mathematicians and biologists is the symbolic representation of mathematics. In relation to COVID-19, such a method might provide information to humanity for halting the spread of this epidemic, which has severely impacted people's quality of life. In this study, we examine a crucial COVID-19 model under a globalized piecewise fractional derivative in the context of Caputo and Atangana Baleanu fractional operators. The said model has been constructed in the format of two fractional operators, having a non-linear time-varying spreading rate, and composed of ten compartmental individuals: Susceptible, Infectious, Diagnosed, Ailing, Recognized, Infectious Real, Threatened, Recovered Diagnosed, Healed and Extinct populations. The qualitative analysis is developed for the proposed model along with the discussion of their dynamical behaviors. The stability of the approximate solution is tested by using the Ulam-Hyers stability approach. For the implementation of the given model in the sense of an approximate piecewise solution, the Newton Polynomial approximate solution technique is applied. The graphing results are with different additional fractional orders connected to COVID-19 disease, and the graphical representation is established for other piecewise fractional orders. By using comparisons of this nature between the graphed and analytical data, we are able to calculate the best-fit parameters for any arbitrary orders with a very low error rate. Additionally, many parameters' effects on the transmission of viral infections are examined and analyzed. Such a discussion will be more informative as it demonstrates the dynamics on various piecewise intervals.

Keywords: Covid-19 model; fractional operators; numerical solution; piecewise derivative operator; qualitative analysis.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Epidemics*
  • Health Personnel
  • Humans
  • Quality of Life